MIT Global Change Joint Program: Publications

Publications of the MIT Global Change Joint Program

An important function of the Program is to improve education about climate issues and contribute to informed public debate about the problem, its uncertainties, and the implications of various policy measures. Members of the Program's research team are active in publishing the results of the work as it becomes available, in professional journals and the popular press.

The Program's Report Series is intended to communicate research results, and provide useful reviews and commentaries on various aspects of the climate issue. The Reprint Series helps provide wider access to published Program results that have appeared in professional and popular journals. Technical Notes provide documentation of research procedures and technical details.

Examples of other publication outlets include Student Theses resulting from graduate student involvement in Program research, Congressional Testimony by Program participants, occasional Climate Policy Notes and Forum Papers, and assorted other reports, popular press articles, and books. Also available is an overview brochure (PDF: 990 kB) that summarizes the Program's goals, structure and activities.

Titles of MIT Global Change Joint Program publications are listed below, with a brief summary of each available on the abstracts page. Most documents are provided in PDF format with an approximate download file size shown [in kilobytes (kB) or megabytes (MB); get Acrobat Reader). An underlined title indicates an article that is also available in html format. Paper copies of Program documents can be obtained by request*.

*To request a paper copy of any Program document contact the Program office (globalchange@mit.edu). Please specify the document title (or Report or Reprint number), along with your complete mailing address. Paper copies of most titles are available in limited quantities, and upon request can be mailed to any domestic or international postal address (for no charge).

REPORT SERIES top of page Report List [PDF: 380 kB]
Report Nos. [10 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 50 | 60 | 70 | 80 | 90 | 100 | 110 | 120 | 130 | 140 | 150]

160. Analysis of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Tax Proposals
Metcalf, G.E., S. Paltsev, J. M. Reilly, H.D. Jacoby & J. Holak (April 2008) [abstract] [Report: 800 kB] [Appendix: 1.6 MB]

159. Impact of sulfur and carbonaceous emissions from international shipping on aerosol distributions and direct radiative forcing
Wang, C., & D. Kim (April 2008) [abstract] [PDF: 150 kB]

158. Analysis of the Coal Sector Under Carbon Constraints
McFarland, J.R., S. Paltsev & H.D. Jacoby (April 2008) [abstract] [PDF: 1.2 MB]

157. Constraining Climate Model Parameters from Observed 20th Century Changes
Forest, C.E., P.H. Stone & A.P. Sokolov (forthcoming) [abstract]

156. Estimating the Economic Cost of Sea-Level Rise
Sugiyama, M., R.J. Nicholls & A. Vafeidis (April 2008) [abstract] [PDF: 810 kB]

155. Potential Land Use Implications of a Global Biofuels Industry
Gurgel, A., J. Reilly & S. Paltsev (March 2008) [abstract] [PDF: 950 kB] [see also Reprint 2007-14]

154. Modeling the Prospects for Hydrogen Powered Transportation Through 2100
Sandoval, R., V.J. Karplus, S. Paltsev & J. Reilly (February 2008) [abstract] [PDF: 240 kB]

153. Climate Change, Mortality, and Adaptation: Evidence from Annual Fluctuations in Weather in the U.S.
Deschenes, O., & M. Greenstone (August 2007) [abstract] [PDF: 2.8 MB]

152. Energy Scenarios for East Asia: 2005-2025
Paltsev, S., & J. Reilly (July 2007) [abstract] [PDF: 430 kB]

151. Consequences of Considering Carbon/Nitrogen Interactions on the Feedbacks Between Climate and the Terrestrial Carbon Cycle
Sokolov, A.P., D.W. Kicklighter, J.M. Melillo, B. Felzer, C.A. Schlosser & T.W. Cronin (June 2007) [abstract] [PDF: 740 kB]

150. U.S. Greenhouse Gas Cap-and-Trade Proposals: Application of a Forward-Looking Computable General Equilibrium Model
Gurgel, A., S. Paltsev, J. Reilly & G. Metcalf (June 2007) [abstract] [PDF: 1.8 MB]

149. Global Economic Effects of Changes in Crops, Pasture, and Forests due to Changing Climate, Carbon Dioxide, and Ozone
Reilly, J., S. Paltsev, B. Felzer, X. Wang, D. Kicklighter, J. Melillo, R. Prinn, M. Sarofim, A. Sokolov & C. Wang (May 2007) [abstract] [PDF: 830 kB] [Reprint 2007-11]

148. Relative Roles of Climate Sensitivity and Forcing in Defining the Ocean Circulation Response to Climate Change
Scott, J.R., A.P. Sokolov, P.H. Stone & M.D. Webster (May 2007) [abstract] [PDF: 3.6 MB]

147. A Global Land System Framework for Integrated Climate-Change Assessments
Schlosser, C.A., D. Kicklighter & A. Sokolov (May 2007) [abstract] [PDF: 4.7 MB]

146. Assessment of U.S. Cap-and-Trade Proposals
Paltsev, S., J. Reilly, H. Jacoby, A. Gurgel, G. Metcalf, A. Sokolov & J. Holak (April 2007; addendum February 2008) [abstract] [Summary: 150kB] [Report: 3.6 MB] [Appendix C: 1 MB] [Appendix D: 650 kB]

145. Biomass Energy and Competition for Land
Reilly, J., & S. Paltsev (April 2007) [abstract] [PDF: 1.3 MB]

144. Heavier Crude, Changing Demand for Petroleum Fuels, Regional Climate Policy, and the Location of Upgrading Capacity: A Preliminary Look
Reilly, J., S. Paltsev & F. Choumert (April 2007) [abstract] [PDF: 645 kB]

143. Technical Change, Investment and Energy Intensity
Kratena, K. (March 2007) [abstract] [PDF: 1.8 MB]

142. Federal Tax Policy Towards Energy
Metcalf, G. (January 2007) [abstract] [PDF: 400 kB] [Reprint 2007-8]

141. Over-Allocation or Abatement? A Preliminary Analysis of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme Based on the 2005 Emissions Data
Ellerman, A.D., & B. Buchner (December 2006) [abstract] [PDF: 525 kB]

140. The Allocation of European Union Allowances: Lessons, Unifying Themes and General Principles
Buchner, B., C. Carraro & A.D. Ellerman (October 2006) [abstract] [PDF: 300 kB]

139. Directed Technical Change and the Adoption of CO2 Abatement Technology: The Case of CO2 Capture and Storage
Otto, M.V., & J. Reilly (August 2006) [abstract] [PDF: 270 kB]

138. Energy Conservation in the United States: Understanding its Role in Climate Policy
Metcalf, G.E. (August 2006) [abstract] [PDF: 475 kB]

137. Unemployment Effects of Climate Policy
Babiker, M., & R.S. Eckaus (July [Revised August] 2006) [abstract] [PDF: 915 kB] [Reprint 2007-18]

136. Bringing Transportation into a Cap-and-Trade Regime
Ellerman, A.D., H.D. Jacoby & M.B. Zimmerman (June 2006) [abstract] [PDF: 160 kB]

135. Modeling Climate Feedbacks to Energy Demand: The Case of China
Asadoorian, M.O., R.S. Eckaus & C.A. Schlosser (June 2006) [abstract] [PDF: 183 kB]

134. Directed Technical Change and Climate Policy
Otto, V.M., A. Löschel & J. Reilly (April 2006) [abstract] [PDF: 520 kB]

133. Estimating Probability Distributions from Complex Models with Bifurcations: The Case of Ocean Circulation Collapse
Webster, M., J. Scott, A. Sokolov & P. Stone (March 2006) [abstract] [PDF: 444 kB] [Reprint 2007-10]

132. The Value of Emissions Trading
Webster, M., S. Paltsev & J. Reilly (February 2006) [abstract] [PDF: 575 kB]

131. The Economic Impacts of Climate Change: Evidence from Agricultural Profits and Random Fluctuations in Weather
Deschenes, O., & M. Greenstone (January 2006) [abstract] [PDF: 2.5 MB] [Reprint 2007-4]

130. Absolute vs. Intensity Limits for CO2 Emission Control: Performance Under Uncertainty
Sue Wing, I., A.D. Ellerman & J. Song (January 2006) [abstract] [PDF: 1 MB]

129. Future Carbon Regulations and Current Investments in Alternative Coal-Fired Power Plant Designs
Sekar, R.C., J.E. Parsons, H.J. Herzog & H.D. Jacoby (December 2005) [abstract] [PDF: 875 kB] [Reprint 2007-2]

128. Evaluating the Use of Ocean Models of Different Complexity in Climate Change Studies
Sokolov, A.P., S. Dutkiewicz, P.H. Stone & J. Scott (Revised May 2007) [abstract] [PDF: 2.5 MB]

127. An Analysis of the European Emission Trading Scheme
Reilly, J.M., & S. Paltsev (October 2005) [abstract] [PDF: 355 kB] [Reprint 2006-11]

126. Estimated PDFs of Climate System Properties Including Natural and Anthropogenic Forcings
Forest, C.E., P.H. Stone & A.P. Sokolov (September 2005) [abstract] [PDF: 875 kB] [Reprint 2006-1]

125. The MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) Model: Version 4
Paltsev, S., J.M. Reilly, H.D. Jacoby, R.S. Eckaus, J. McFarland, M. Sarofim, M. Asadoorian & M. Babiker (August 2005) [abstract] [PDF: 1.75 MB]

124. The MIT Integrated Global System Model (IGSM) Version 2: Model Description and Baseline Evaluation
Sokolov, A.P., C.A. Schlosser, S. Dutkiewicz, S. Paltsev, D.W. Kicklighter, H.D. Jacoby, R.G. Prinn, C.E. Forest, J. Reilly, C. Wang, B. Felzer, M.C. Sarofim, J. Scott, P.H. Stone, J.M. Melillo & J. Cohen (July 2005) [abstract] [PDF: 1.1 MB]

123. Simulating the Spatial Distribution of Population and Emissions to 2100
Asadoorian, M.O. (May 2005) [abstract] [PDF: 1.2 MB]

122. A Three-Dimensional Ocean-Seaice-Carbon Cycle Model and its Coupling to a Two-Dimensional Atmospheric Model: Uses in Climate Change Studies
Dutkiewicz, S., A. Sokolov, J. Scott & P. Stone (May [Revised November] 2005) [abstract] [PDF: 1.3 MB]

121. Climate Change Taxes and Energy Efficiency in Japan
Kasahara, S., S. Paltsev, J. Reilly, H. Jacoby & A.D. Ellerman (May 2005) [abstract] [PDF: 720 kB] [Reprint 2007-6]

120. What Should the Government Do To Encourage Technical Change in the Energy Sector?
Deutch, J. (May 2005) [abstract] [PDF: 230 kB]

119. Does Model Sensitivity to Changes in CO2 Provide a Measure of Sensitivity to the Forcing of Different Nature?
Sokolov, A.P. (March 2005) [abstract] [PDF: 270 kB] [Reprint 2006-4]

118. Effects of Air Pollution Control on Climate
Prinn, R., J. Reilly, M. Sarofim, C. Wang & B. Felzer (January 2005) [abstract] [PDF: 248 kB] [Reprint 2007-15]

117. Modeling the Transport Sector: The Role of Existing Fuel Taxes in Climate Policy
Paltsev, S., H.D. Jacoby, J. Reilly, L. Viguier & M. Babiker (November 2004) [abstract] [PDF: 225 kB] [Reprint 2005-7]

116. Explaining Long-Run Changes in the Energy Intensity of the U.S. Economy
Sue Wing, I., & R.S. Eckaus (September 2004) [abstract] [PDF: 472 kB] [Reprint 2007-19]

115. Future United States Energy Security Concerns
Deutch, J. (September 2004) [abstract] [PDF: 261 kB]

114. The Role of Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gases in Climate Policy: Analysis Using the MIT IGSM
Reilly, J., M. Sarofim, S. Paltsev and R.G. Prinn (August 2004) [abstract] [PDF: 231 kB] [Reprint 2006-10]

113. Economic Benefits of Air Pollution Regulation in the USA: An Integrated Approach
Yang, T., K. Matus, S. Paltsev & J. Reilly (July 2004 [Revised January 2005]) [abstract] [PDF: 300 kB] [Reprint 2007-12]

112. The Cost of Kyoto Protocol Targets: The Case of Japan
Paltsev, S., J.M. Reilly, H.D. Jacoby & K.H. Tay (July 2004) [abstract] [PDF: 306 kB]

111. Technology and Technical Change in the MIT EPPA Model
Jacoby, H.D., J.M. Reilly, J.R. McFarland & S. Paltsev (July 2004) [abstract] [PDF: 272 kB] [Reprint 2006-5]

110. Stabilization and Global Climate Policy
Sarofim, M., C.E. Forest, D.M. Reiner & J.M. Reilly (July 2004) [abstract] [PDF: 284 kB] [Reprint 2005-5]

109. Sensitivity of Climate to Diapycnal Diffusivity in the Ocean. Part I: Equilibrium State. Part II: Global Warming Scenario
Dalan, F., P.H. Stone, I. Kamenkovich & J. Scott (Part I); Dalan, F., P.H. Stone & A. Sokolov (Part II) (May 2004) [abstract] [PDF: 2 MB] [Reprint 2005-6]

108. Methane Fluxes Between Terrestrial Ecosystems and the Atmosphere at Northern High Latitudes During the Past Century: A Retrospective Analysis with a Process-Based Biogeochemistry Model
Zhuang, Q., J.M. Melillo, D.W. Kicklighter, R.G. Prinn, A.D. McGuire, P.A. Steudler, B.S. Felzer & S. Hu (March 2004) [abstract] [PDF: 910 kB] [Reprint 2004-9]

107. Informing Climate Policy Given Incommensurable Benefits Estimates
Jacoby, H.D. (February 2004) [abstract] [PDF: 247 kB] [Reprint 2004-7]

106. Climate Prediction: The Limits of Ocean Models
Stone, P.H. (February 2004) [abstract] [PDF: 406 kB] [Reprint 2004-10]

105. Analysis of Strategies of Companies under Carbon Constraint: Relationship between Profit Structure of Companies and Carbon/Fuel Price Uncertainty
Hashimoto, S. (January 2004) [abstract] [PDF: 362 kB] ]

104. A Process-based Analysis of Methane Exchanges Between Alaskan Terrestrial Ecosystems and the Atmosphere
Zhuang, Q., J.M. Melillo, D.W. Kicklighter, R.G. Prinn, P.A. Steudler, A.D. McGuire, B.S. Felzer & S. Hu (November 2003) [abstract] [PDF: 235 kB]

103. Past and Future Effects of Ozone on Net Primary Production and Carbon Sequestration Using a Global Biogeochemical Model
Felzer, B., J. Reilly, J. Melillo, D. Kicklighter, C. Wang, R. Prinn, M. Sarofim & Q. Zhuang (October 2003 [Revised January 2004]) [abstract] [PDF: 1.4 MB] [Reprint 2005-8]

102. Induced Technical Change and the Cost of Climate Policy
Sue Wing, I. (September 2003) [abstract] [PDF: 723 kB]

101. Technology Detail in a Multi-Sector CGE Model: Transport Under Climate Policy
Schafer, A., & H.D. Jacoby (July 2003) [abstract] [PDF: 577 kB] [Reprint 2005-4]

100. Absolute vs. Intensity-Based Emission Caps
Ellerman, A.D., & I. Sue Wing (July 2003) [abstract] [PDF: 270 kB] [Reprint 2003-12]

99. Thermohaline Circulation Stability: A Box Model Study. Part I: Uncoupled Model. Part II: Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Model
Lucarini, V., & P.H. Stone (June 2003) [abstract] [PDF: 3.2 MB] [Reprint 2005-2]

98. Russia's Role in the Kyoto Protocol
Bernard, A., S. Paltsev, J.M. Reilly, M. Vielle & L. Viguier (June 2003) [abstract] [PDF: 386 kB]

97. Emissions Trading to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions in the United States: The McCain-Lieberman Proposal
Paltsev, S., J.M. Reilly, H.D. Jacoby, A.D. Ellerman & K.H. Tay (June 2003) [abstract] [PDF: 234 kB]

96. Market Power in International Carbon Emissions Trading: A Laboratory Test
Carlén, B. (January 2003) [abstract] [PDF: 625 kB]

95. Uncertainty Analysis of Climate Change and Policy Response
Webster, M., C. Forest, J. Reilly, M. Babiker, D. Kicklighter, M. Mayer, R. Prinn, M. Sarofim, A. Sokolov, P. Stone & C. Wang (December 2002) [abstract] [PDF: 325 kB] [Reprint 2003-11]

94. Modeling Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gas Abatement
Hyman, R.C., J.M. Reilly, M.H. Babiker, A. De Masin & H.D. Jacoby (December 2002) [abstract] [PDF: 350 kB] [Reprint 2003-9]

93. Is International Emissions Trading Always Beneficial?
Babiker, M., J. Reilly & L. Viguier (December 2002) [abstract] [PDF: 491 kB] [Reprint 2004-4]

92. An Issue of Permanence: Assessing the Effectiveness of Temporary Carbon Storage
Herzog, H., K. Caldeira & J. Reilly (December 2002) [abstract] [PDF: 337 kB] [Reprint 2003-1]

91. Exclusionary Manipulation of Carbon Permit Markets: A Laboratory Test
Carlén, B. (November 2002) [abstract] [PDF: 656 kB]

90. Ozone Effects on Net Primary Production and Carbon Sequestration in the Conterminous United States Using a Biogeochemistry Model
Felzer, B.S., D.W. Kicklighter, J.M. Melillo, C. Wang, Q. Zhuang & R.G. Prinn (November 2002) [abstract] [PDF: 560 kB] [Reprint 2004-5]

89. Representing Energy Technologies in Top-down Economic Models Using Bottom-up Information
McFarland, J., J. Reilly & H. Herzog (October 2002) [abstract] [PDF: 292 kB] [Reprint 2004-8]

88. The Deep-Ocean Heat Uptake in Transient Climate Change
Huang, B., P.H. Stone, A.P. Sokolov & I.V. Kamenkovich (September 2002) [abstract] [PDF: 1.01 MB] [Reprint 2003-2]

87. Sensitivities of Deep-Ocean Heat Uptake and Heat Content to Surface Fluxes and Subgrid-Scale Parameters in an Ocean GCM with Idealized Geometry
Huang, B., P.H. Stone & C. Hill (September 2002) [abstract] [PDF: 1.53 MB] [Reprint 2003-5]

86. Incentive-based Approaches for Mitigating Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Issues and Prospects for India
Gupta, S. (June 2002) [abstract] [PDF: 258 kB]

85. Tax Distortions and Global Climate Policy
Babiker, M.H., G.E. Metcalf & J. Reilly (May 2002) [abstract] [PDF: 1.03 MB] [Reprint 2003-4]

84. A Modeling Study on the Climate Impacts of Black Carbon Aerosols
Wang, C. (March 2002) [abstract] [PDF: 1.18 MB] [Reprint 2004-2]

83. The Safety Valve and Climate Policy
Jacoby, H.D. & A.D. Ellerman (February [Revised July] 2002) [abstract] [PDF: 224 kB] [Reprint 2004-1]

82. The Evolution of a Climate Regime: Kyoto to Marrakech
Babiker, M.H., H.D. Jacoby, J.M. Reilly & D.M. Reiner (February 2002) [abstract] [PDF: 199 kB] [Reprint 2002-5]

81. A Comparison of the Behavior of AOGCMs in Transient Climate Change Experiments
Sokolov, A.P., C.E. Forest & P.H. Stone (December 2001) [abstract] [PDF: 284 kB] [Reprint 2003-3]

80. Uncertainty in Atmospheric CO2 Predictions from a Parametric Uncertainty Analysis of a Global Ocean Carbon Cycle Model
Holian, G., A.P. Sokolov & R.G. Prinn (September 2001) [abstract] [PDF: 465 kB]

79. Uncertainty in Emissions Projections for Climate Models
Webster M.D., M.H. Babiker, M. Mayer, J.M. Reilly, J. Harnisch, R. Hyman, M.C. Sarofim & C. Wang (August 2001) [abstract] [PDF: 665 kB] [Reprint 2002-3]

78. Quantifying Uncertainties in Climate System Properties using Recent Climate Observations
Forest, C.E., P.H. Stone, A.P. Sokolov, M.R. Allen & M. Webster (July 2001) [abstract] [PDF: 282 kB] [Reprint 2002-1]

77. Comparing Greenhouse Gases
Reilly, J., M. Babiker & M. Mayer (July 2001) [abstract] [PDF: 275 kB]

76. CO2 Abatement by Multi-fueled Electric Utilities: An Analysis Based on Japanese Data
Ellerman, A.D. & N. Tsukada (July 2001) [abstract] [PDF: 340 kB]

75. Feedbacks Affecting the Response of the Thermohaline Circulation to Increasing CO2. A Study with a Model of Intermediate Complexity
Kamenkovich, I.V., A.P. Sokolov & P.H. Stone (July 2001) [abstract] [PDF: 277 kB] [Reprint 2003-7]

74. The Welfare Costs of Hybrid Carbon Policies in the European Union
Babiker, M., L. Viguier, J. Reilly, A.D. Ellerman & P. Criqui (June 2001) [abstract] [PDF: 235 kB] [Reprint 2003-8]

73. Uncertainty Analysis of Global Climate Change Projections
Webster, M.D., C.E. Forest, J.M. Reilly, A.P. Sokolov, P.H. Stone, H.D. Jacoby & R.G. Prinn (March 2001)
NOTE: Report 73 is superseded by Report 95, and Reprint 2003-11]

72. Cap and Trade Policies in the Presence of Monopoly and Distortionary Taxation
Fullerton, D. & G.E. Metcalf (March 2001) [abstract] [PDF: 270 kB]

71. The MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) Model: Revisions, Sensitivities, and Comparisons of Results
Babiker, M.H., J.M. Reilly, M. Mayer, R.S. Eckaus, I. Sue Wing & R.C. Hyman (February 2001) [abstract] [PDF: 1.3 MB]

70. Carbon Emissions and The Kyoto Commitment in the European Union
Viguier, L.L., M.H. Babiker, and J.M. Reilly (February 2001) [abstract] [PDF: 430 kB] [Reprint 2003-13]

69. Tradable Permits for Greenhouse Gas Emissions: A primer with particular reference to Europe
Ellerman, A.D. (November 2000) [abstract] [PDF: 320 kB] [Reprint 2001-3 & Reprint 2001-5]

68. How to Think About Human Influence on Climate
Forest, C.E., P.H. Stone & H.D. Jacoby (October 2000) [abstract] [PDF: 200 kB] [Reprint 2002-6]

67. The Curious Role of"Learning" in Climate Policy: Should We Wait for More Data?
Webster, M.D. (October 2000) [abstract] [PDF: 270 kB] [Reprint 2002-2]

66. Fair Trade and Harmonization of Climate Change Policies in Europe
Viguier, L. (September 2000) [abstract] [PDF: 270 kB]

65. Rethinking the Kyoto Emissions Targets
Babiker,.M.J. & R.S. Eckaus (August 2000) [abstract] [PDF: 210 kB] [Reprint 2002-4]

64. The Effects of Changing Consumption Patterns on the Costs of Emission Restrictions
Lahiri, S., M. Babiker & R.S. Eckaus (August 2000) [abstract] [PDF: 315 kB]

63. Linking Local Air Pollution to Global Chemistry and Climate
Mayer, M., C. Wang, M. Webster & R. Prinn (June 2000) [abstract] [PDF: 7.5 MB] [Reprint 2000-5]

62. Constraining Climate Model Properties Using Optimal Fingerprint Detection Methods
Forest, C.E., M.R. Allen, A.P. Sokolov & P.H. Stone (May 2000) [abstract] [PDF: 2 MB] [Reprint 2001-8]

61. Effects of Differentiating Climate Policy by Sector: A U.S. Example
Babiker, M., M. Bautista, H. Jacoby & J. Reilly (May 2000) [abstract] [PDF: 630 kB]

60. A Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Model of Intermediate Complexity for Climate Change Study
Kamenkovich, I., A.P. Sokolov & P.H. Stone (May 2000) [abstract] [PDF: 520 kB] [Reprint 2002-7]

59. Supplementarity: An Invitation for Monopsony?
Ellerman, A.D. & I. Sue Wing (April 2000) [abstract] [PDF: 1.3 MB] [Reprint 2000-8]

58. Multiple Gas Control Under the Kyoto Agreement
Reilly, J, M. Mayer & J. Harnisch (March 2000) [abstract] [PDF: 270 kB] [Reprint 2002-8]

57. A Game of Climate Chicken: Can EPA Regulate Greenhouse Gases Before the U.S. Senate Ratifies the Kyoto Protocol?
Bugnion, V. & D. Reiner (November 1999) [abstract] [PDF: 330 kB] [Reprint 2000-7]

56. The Kyoto Protocol and Developing Countries
Babiker, M., J. Reilly & H. Jacoby (October 1999) [abstract] [PDF: 290 kB] [Reprint 2000-2]

55. Changes in Sea-Level associated with Modifications of the Mass Balance of the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets over the 21st Century
Bugnion, V. (October 1999) [abstract] [PDF: 540 kB]

54. Model Estimates of the Mass Balance of the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets
Bugnion, V. (October 1999) [abstract] [PDF: 1 MB]

53. Developing Country Effects of Kyoto-Type Emissions Restrictions
Babiker, M. & H.D. Jacoby (October 1999) [abstract] [PDF: 280 kB]

52. Interactive Chemistry and Climate Models in Global Change Studies
Wang, C. & R.G. Prinn (September 1999) [abstract] [PDF: 170 kB]

51. Japanese Nuclear Power and the Kyoto Agreement
Babiker, M., J.M. Reilly & A.D. Ellerman (August 1999) [abstract] [PDF: 170 kB] [Reprint 2000-6]

50. A Study of the Effects of Natural Fertility, Weather and Productive Inputs in Chinese Agriculture
Eckaus, R.S. & K. Tso (June 1999) [abstract] [PDF: 160 kB]

49. Toward a Useful Architecture for Climate Change Negotiations
Jacoby, H.D., R. Schmalensee & I. Sue Wing (May 1999) [abstract] [PDF: 230 kB]

48. Adjusting to Policy Expectations in Climate Change Modeling: An Interdisciplinary Study of Flux Adjustments in Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Models
Shackley, S., K. Risbey, P. Stone & B. Wynne (May 1999) [abstract] [PDF: 230 kB] [Reprint 1999-14]

47. Constraining Uncertainties in Climate Models Using Climate Change Detection Techniques
Forest, C.E., M.R. Allen, P.H. Stone & A.P. Sokolov (April 1999) [abstract] [PDF: 340 kB] [Reprint 2000-10]

46. From Science to Policy: The Science-Related Politics of Climate Change Policy in the United States
Skolnikoff, E.B. (Jan 1999) [abstract] [PDF: 50 kB]

45. Multi-Gas Assessment of the Kyoto Protocol
Reilly, J., R.G. Prinn, J. Harnisch, J. Fitzmaurice, H. Jacoby, D. Kicklighter, P. Stone, A. Sokolov & C. Wang (Jan 1999) [abstract] [PDF: 75 kB] [Reprint 1999-12]

44. Primary Aluminum Production: Climate Policy, Emissions and Costs
Harnisch, J., I. Sue Wing, H.D. Jacoby & R.G. Prinn (Dec 1998) [abstract] [PDF: 100 kB]

43. The Uses and Misuses of Technology Development as a Component of Climate Policy
Jacoby , H.D. (Nov 1998) [abstract] [PDF: 45 kB] [Reprint 1999-7]

42. Obstacles to Global CO2 Trading: A Familiar Problem
Ellerman , A.D. (Nov 1998) [abstract] [PDF: 55 kB] [Reprint 1999-8]

41. The Effects on Developing Countries of the Kyoto Protocol and CO2 Emissions Trading
Ellerman, A.D., H.D. Jacboy & A. Decaux (Nov 1998) [abstract] [PDF: 250 kB]

40. Analysis of Post-Kyoto CO2 Emissions Trading Using Marginal Abatement Curves
Ellerman, A.D. & A. Decaux (Oct 1998) [abstract] [PDF: 190 kB]

39. Uncertainty in Atmospheric CO2 Concentrations from a Parametric Uncertainty Analysis of a Global Ocean Carbon Cycle Model
Holian, G.L. (Oct 1998) (Note: Report 39 is superseded by Report 80)

38. Sequential Climate Decisions Under Uncertainty: An Integrated Framework
Valverde, J.A., Jr., H.D. Jacoby & G.M. Kaufman (Sep 1998) [abstract] [PDF: 90 kB] [Reprint 1999-6]

37. Quantifying the Uncertainty in Climate Predictions
Webster, M. & A. Sokolov (Jul 1998) [abstract] [PDF: 160 kB] [Reprint 2000-4]

36. Integrated Global System Model for Climate Policy Assessment: Feedbacks and Sensitivity Studies
Prinn, R.G., H.D. Jacoby, A.P. Sokolov, C. Wang, X. Xiao, Z. Yang, R. Eckaus, P.H. Stone, A.D. Ellerman, J. Melillo, J. Fitzmaurice, D. Kicklighter, Y. Liu & G. Holian (May 1998) [abstract] [PDF: 1.8 MB] [Reprint 1999-4]

35. Impact of Emissions, Chemistry, and Climate on Atmospheric Carbon Monoxide: 100-year Predictions from a Global Chemistry-Climate Model
Wang, C. & R.G. Prinn (Apr 1998) [abstract] [PDF: 110 kB] [Reprint 1999-11]

34. Combined Effects of Anthropogenic Emissions and Resultant Climatic Changes on Atmospheric OH
Wang, C. & R.G. Prinn (Apr 1998) [abstract] [PDF: 30 kB]

33. Economic Development and the Structure of the Demand for Commercial Energy
Judson, R., R. Schmalensee & T. Stoker (Apr 1998) [abstract] [PDF: 100 kB]

32.Kyoto's Unfinished Business
Jacoby, H.D., R.G. Prinn & R. Schmalensee (Jun 1998) [abstract] [PDF: 22 kB] [Reprint 1998-2]

31. Beyond Emissions Paths: Rethinking the Climate Impacts of Emissions Protocols in an Uncertain World
Webster, M.D. & D.M. Reiner (Nov 1997) [abstract] [PDF: 200 kB]

30. Uncertainty in Future Carbon Emissions: A Preliminary Exploration
Webster, M.D. (Nov 1997) [abstract] [PDF: 135 kB]

29. Analysis of CO2 Emissions from Fossil Fuel in Korea: 1961-1994
Choi, K.-H. (Nov 1997) [abstract] [PDF: 195 kB]

28. Transient Climate Change and Net Ecosystem Produciton of the Terrestrial Biosphere
Xiao, X., J. Melillo, D. Kicklighter, A. McGuire, R. Prinn, C. Wang, P. Stone & A. Sokolov (Nov 1997) [abstract] [PDF: 335 kB] [Reprint 1998-6]

27. Annex I Differentiation Proposals: Implications for Welfare, Equity and Policy
Reiner, D.M. & H.D. Jacoby (Oct 1997) [abstract] [PDF: 70 kB]

26. Necessary Conditions for Stabilization Agreements
Yang, Z. & H.D. Jacoby (Oct 1997) [abstract] [PDF: 80 kB]

25. Interactions Among Emissions, Atmospheric Chemistry, and Climate Change: Implications for Future Trends
Wang, C. & R.G. Prinn (Sep 1997) [abstract] [PDF:1.6 MB]

24. A Global Interactive Chemistry and Climate Model
Wang, C., R.G. Prinn & A.P. Sokolov (Sep 1997) [abstract] [PDF: 1.2 MB] [Reprint 1998-5]

23. Uncertainty in the Oceanic Heat and Carbon Uptake and Their Impact on Climate Projections
Sokolov, A.P., C. Wang, G. Holian, P.H. Stone & R.G. Prinn (Sep 1997) [abstract] [PDF: 30 kB] [Reprint 1998-7]

22. Same Science, Differing Policies; The Saga of Global Climate Change
Skolnikoff, E.B. (Aug 1997) [abstract] [PDF: 50 kB]

21. Needed: A Realistic Strategy for Global Warming
Jacoby, H.D., R.G. Prinn & R. Schmalensee (Jul 1997) [abstract] [PDF: 30 kB]

20. Parameterization of Urban Sub-grid Scale Processes in Global Atmospheric Chemistry Models
Calbo, J., W. Pan, M. Webster, R. Prinn & G. McRae (Jul 1997) [abstract] [PDF: 370 kB] [Reprint 1998-1]

19. Joint Implementation: Lessons from Title IV's Voluntary Compliance Programs
Atkeson, E. (Jun 1997) [M.S. Thesis] [abstract] [PDF: 85 kB]

18. Transient Climate Change and Potential Croplands of the World in the 21st Century
Xiao, X., J.M. Melillo, D.W. Kicklighter, A.D. McGuire, H. Tian, Y. Pan, C.J. Vorosmarty & Z. Yang (May 1997) [abstract] [PDF: 4.1 MB] [Reprint 1999-15]

17. A Flexible Climate Model For Use In Integrated Assessments
Sokolov, A.P. & P.H. Stone (Mar 1997) [abstract] [PDF: 50 kB] [Reprint 1998-4]

16. What Drives Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon?
Pfaff, A.S.P. (Dec 1996) [abstract] [PDF: 340 kB]

15. Economic Assessment of CO2 Capture and Disposal
Eckaus, R.S., H.D. Jacoby, A.D. Ellerman, W.-C. Leung & Z. Yang (Dec 1996) [abstract] [PDF: 75 kB]

14. What Does Stabilizing Greenhouse Gas Concentrations Mean?
Jacoby, H.D., R. Schmalensee & D.M. Reiner (Nov 1996) [abstract] [PDF: 100 kB] [Reprint 1997-2]

13. Greenhouse Policy Architectures and Institutions
Schmalensee, R. (Nov 1996) [abstract] [PDF: 70 kB]

12. Net primary production of terrestrial ecosystems in China and its equilibrium responses to changes in climate and atmospheric CO2 concentration
Xiao, X., J. Melillo, D. Kicklighter, Y. Pan, A. McGuire & J. Helfrich (Oct 1996) [abstract] [PDF: 65 kB]

11. Global Warming Projections: Sensitivity to Deep Ocean Mixing
Sokolov, A.P. & P.H. Stone (Sep 1996) [abstract] [PDF: 80 kB]

10. Modeling the Emissions of Nitrous Oxide and Methane from the Terrestrial Biosphere to the Atmosphere
Liu, Y. (Aug 1996) [Ph.D Thesis] [abstract]

9. CO2 Emissions Limits: Economic Adjustments and the Distribution of Burdens
Jacoby, H., R. Eckaus, A. Ellerman, R. Prinn, D. Reiner & Z. Yang (Jul 1997) [abstract] [PDF: 175 kB] [Reprint 1997-1]

8. Relative Roles of Changes in CO2 and Climate to Equilibrium Responses of Net Primary Production and Carbon Storage of the Terrestrial Biosphere
Xiao, X., J. Melillo, D. Kicklighter, A. McGuire, P. Stone & A. Sokolov (Jun 1996) [abstract] [PDF: 260 kB]

7. Integrated Global System Model for Climate Policy Analysis: I. Model Framework and Sensitivity Studies Prinn, R.G., et al. (June 1996) (Note: Report 7 is superseded by Reports 36 and 124)

6. The MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) Model
Yang, Z., R. Eckause, A.D. Ellerman & H.D. Jacoby (May 1996) [abstract] (Note: Report 6 is superseded by Reports 71 and 125)

5. World Energy Consumption and Carbon Dioxide Emissions: 1950-2050
Schmalensee, R., T. Stoker & R. Judson (Apr 1996) [abstract] [PDF: 170 kB] [Reprint 1998-3]

4. Application of the Probabilistic Collocation Method for an Uncertainty Analysis of a Simple Ocean Model
Webster, M., M.A. Tatang & G.J. McRae (Jan 1996) [abstract] [PDF: 85 kB]

3. Responses of Primary Production and Total Carbon Storage to Changes in Climate and Atmospheric CO2 Concentration
Xiao, X., D. Kicklighter, J. Melillo, A. McGuire, P. Stone & A. Sokolov (Oct 1995) [abstract] [PDF: 60 kB] [Reprint 1997-3]

2. Description and Validation of the MIT Version of the GISS 2-D Model
Sokolov, A.P. & P.H. Stone (Jun 1995) [abstract] [PDF: 45 kB]

1. Uncertainty In Climate Change Policy Analysis
Jacoby, H. D. & R.G. Prinn (Dec 1994) [abstract] [PDF: 560 kB]

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2007-20. The limits of consensus (M. Oppenheimer, B.C. O'Neill, M. Webster & S. Agrawala) Science 317: 1505-1506. [abstract] [Article available at journal site]

2007-19. The implications of the historical decline in US energy intensity for long-run CO2 emission projections (I. Sue Wing & R.S. Eckaus) Energy Policy 35(11): 5267-5286. [abstract] [PDF: 428 kB (posted with permission)]

2007-18. Unemployment effects of climate policy (M.H. Babiker & R.S. Eckaus) Environmental Science and Policy 10(7-8): 600-609. [abstract] [PDF: 1 MB (posted with permission)]

2007-17. Boiled frogs and path dependency in climate policy decisions (M. Webster) Human-Induced Climate Change: An Interdisciplinary Assessment M. Schlesinger, H. Kheshgi, J. Smith, F. de la Chesnay, J. Reilly, T. Wilson, C. Kolstad (editors), Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, Chapter 29, pp. 355-364. [PDF: 1.3 MB (posted with permission)]

2007-16. How (and why) do climate policy costs differ among countries? (S. Paltsev, J.M. Reilly, H.D. Jacoby & K.H. Tay) Human-Induced Climate Change: An Interdisciplinary Assessment M. Schlesinger et al. (editors), Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, Chapter 23, pp. 282-293. [PDF: 2.2 MB (posted with permission)]

2007-15. Effects of air pollution control on climate: results from an integrated assessment model (R. Prinn, J.M. Reilly, M. Sarofim, C. Wang & B. Felzer) Human-Induced Climate Change: An Interdisciplinary Assessment M. Schlesinger et al. (editors), Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, Chapter 8, pp. 93-102. [abstract] [PDF: 1.6 MB (posted with permission)]

2007-14. Potential land use implications of a global biofuels industry (A. Gurgel, J.M. Reilly & S. Paltsev) Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization 5(2): Article 9. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2007-13. Ensemble climate predictions using climate models and observational constraints (P.A. Stott & C.E. Forest) Philosphical Transactions of the Royal Society A 365: 2028-2052. [abstract] [PDF: 325 kB (posted with permission)]

2007-12. Toward integrated assessment of environmental change: air pollution health effects in the USA (K. Matus, T. Yang, S. Paltsev, J. Reilly & K.-M. Nam) Climatic Change DOI 10.1007/s10584-006-9185-4 (Online First - In Press). [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2007-11. Global economic effects of changes in crops, pasture, and forests due to changing climate, carbon dioxide, and ozone (J. Reilly, S. Paltsev, B. Felzer, X. Wang, D. Kicklighter, J. Melillo, R. Prinn, M. Sarofim & C. Wang) Energy Policy 35(11): 5370-5383. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2007-10. Estimating probability distributions from complex models with bifurcations: The case of ocean circulation collapse (M. Webster, J. Scott, A. Sokolov & P. Stone) Journal of Environmental Systems 31(1): 1-21. [abstract] [PDF: 430 kB (posted with permission)]

2007-9. Net emissions of CH4 and CO2 in Alaska: Implications for the region's greenhouse gas budget (Q. Zhuang, J.M. Melillo, A.D. McGuire, D.W. Kicklighter, R.G. Prinn, P.A. Steudler, B.S. Felzer & S. Hu) Ecological Applications 17(1): 203-212. [abstract] [PDF: 205 kB (posted with permission)]

2007-8. Federal Tax Policy Towards Energy (G. Metcalf) Tax Policy and the Economy, Vol. 21 J. Poterba (editor), MIT Press: Cambrigde, MA; Chapter 5, pp. 145-184. [abstract] [PDF: 185 kB (posted with permission)]

2007-7. The Prospects for Biological Carbon Sinks in Greenhouse Gas Emissions Trading Systems (J. Reilly, B. Felzer, D. Kickligher, J. Melillo, H. Tian & M. Asadoorian) Greenhouse Gas Sinks D. Reay, N. Hewitt, J. Grace, K. Smith (editors), CABI Publishing: Wallingford, UK; Chapter 8, pp. 115-142. [abstract not yet available]

2007-6. Climate Change Taxes and Energy Efficiency in Japan (S. Kasahara, S. Paltsev, J. Reilly, H. Jacoby & A.D. Ellerman) Environmental and Resource Economics 37(2): 377-410. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2007-5. Crop response to elevated CO2 and world food supply: A comment on "Food for Thought..." by Long et al., Science 312: 1918-1921, 2006 (F. Tubiello, F.N., J.S. Amthor, K.J. Boote, M. Donatelli, W. Easterling, G. Fischer, R.M. Gifford, M. Howden, J. Reilly & C. Rosenzweig) European Journal of Agronomy 26(3): 215-223. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2007-4. The economic impacts of climate change: Evidence from agricultural profits and random fluctuations in weather (O. Deschenes & M. Greenstone) American Economic Review 97(1): 354-385. [abstract] [PDF: 270 kB (posted with permission)]

2007-3. Impact of direct radiative forcing of black carbon aerosols on tropical convective precipitation (C. Wang) Geophysical Research Letters 34: L05709. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2007-2. Future carbon regulations and current investments in alternative coal-fired power plant technologies (R.C. Sekar, J.E. Parsons, H.J. Herzog & H.D. Jacoby) Energy Policy 35(2): 1064-1074. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2007-1. Mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions from land use: creating incentives within greenhouse gas emissions trading systems (J.M. Reilly & M.O Asadoorian) Climatic Change 80(1-2): 173-197. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2006-11. European Greenhouse Gas Emissions Trading: A System in Transition (J. Reilly & S. Paltsev) in: Economic Modelling of Climate Change and Energy Policies, C. De Miguel, X. Labandeira & B. Manzano (editors), Edward Elgar Publishing: Cheltenham, UK; & Northampton, MA, USA; Chapter 4, pp. 45-64. [abstract] [PDF: 3.3 MB (posted with permission; download is for personal use only; material is copyrighted)]

2006-10. The Role of Non-CO2 GHGs in Climate Policy: Analysis Using the MIT IGSM (J. Reilly, M. Sarofim, S. Paltsev & R. Prinn) Energy Journal Multi-Greenhouse Gas Mitigation and Climate Policy, Special Issue #3, pp. 503-520. [abstract] [PDF: 280 kB (posted with permission)]

2006-9. CO2 and CH4 exchanges between land ecosystems and the atmosphere in north high latitudes over the 21st century (Q. Zhuang, J.M. Melillo, M.C. Sarofim, D.W. Kicklighter, A.D. McGuire, B.S. Felzer, A. Sokolov, R.G. Prinn, P.A. Steudler & S. Hu) Geophysical Research Letters 33(17): L17403. [abstract] [Full Article available at lead author's site (PDF: 105 kB), and journal site (with auxiliary material)]

2006-8. Incorporating carbon capture and storage technologies in integrated assessment models (J.R. McFarland & H.J. Herzog) Energy Economics 28(5-6): 632-652. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2006-7. Analysis of variability and correlation in long-term economic growth rates (M. Webster & C.-H. Cho) Energy Economics 28(5-6): 653-666. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2006-6. Representing induced technological change in models for climate policy analysis (I. Sue Wing) Energy Economics 28(5-6): 539-562. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2006-5. Technology and Technical Change in the MIT EPPA Model (H.D. Jacoby, J.M. Reilly, J.R. McFarland & S. Paltsev) Energy Economics 28(5-6): 610-631. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2006-4. Does Model Sensitivity to Changes in CO2 Provide a Measure of Sensitivity to Other Forcings? (A.P. Sokolov) Journal of Climate 19(13): 3294-3306. [abstract] [PDF: 912 kB (posted with permission)]

2006-3. Estimation of atmospheric methane emissions between 1996 and 2001 using a 3D global chemical transport model (Y.-H. Chen & R.G. Prinn) Journal of Geophysical Research 111: D10307. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site (with auxiliary material)]

2006-2. Vehicle technology under CO2 constraint: A general equilibrium analysis (A. Schafer & H.D. Jacoby) Energy Policy 34(9): 975-985. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2006-1. Estimated PDFs of Climate System Properties Including Natural and Anthropogenic Forcings (C.E. Forest, P.H. Stone & A.P. Sokolov) Geophysical Research Letters 33: L01705. [abstract] [Full Article (and Supplement) available at lead author's site: Article (PDF: 230 kB), Supplement (PDF: 205 kB); or journal site]

2005-10. Atmospheric modeling of high- and low-frequency methane observations: Importance of interannually varying transport. (Y.-H. Chen & R.G. Prinn) Journal of Geophysical Research 110: D10303. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2005-9. A modeling study of the response of tropical deep convection to the increase of cloud condensation nuclei concentration: 1. Dynamics and microphysics. 2. Radiation and tropospheric chemistry. (C. Wang) Journal of Geophysical Research 110(D21): D21211; 110(D22): D22204. [abstract] [Full Articles available at journal site: Part 1, Part 2]

2005-8. Future Effects of Ozone on Carbon Sequestration and Climate Change Policy Using a Global Biogeochemical Model (B. Felzer, J. Reilly, J. Melillo, D. Kicklighter, M. Sarofim, C. Wang, R. Prinn & Q. Zhuang) Climatic Change 73(3): 345-373. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2005-7. Modeling the Transport Sector: The Role of Existing Fuel Taxes in Climate Policy (S. Paltsev, H. Jacoby, J. Reilly, L. Viguier & M. Babiker) in: Energy and Environment [25th Anniversary volume of the Group for Research in Decision Analysis (GERAD), Volume 3] R. Loulou, J.-P. Waaub & G. Zaccour (editors), Springer-Verlag: New York, pp. 211-238. [abstract]

2005-6. Sensitivity of climate to diapycnal diffusivity in the ocean. Part I: Equilibrium state. Part II: Global warming scenario. (Part I: F. Dalan, P.H. Stone, I.V. Kamenkovich & J.R. Scott; Part II: F. Dalan, P.H. Stone & A.P. Sokolov) Journal of Climate 18 (13): 2460-2481, 2482-2496. [abstract] [PDF: 2.2 MB (posted with permission)]

2005-5. Stabilization and Global Climate Policy (M.C. Sarofim, C.E. Forest, D.M. Reiner & J.M. Reilly) Global and Planetary Change 47 (2-4): 266-272. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2005-4. Technology Detail in a Multi-Sector CGE Model: Transport under Climate Policy (A. Schafer & H.D. Jacoby) Energy Economics 27 (1): 1-24. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2005-3. Climate Change Policy, Market Structure, and Carbon Leakage (M. Babiker) Journal of International Economics 65(2): 421-445. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2005-2. Thermohaline Circulation Stability: A box model study. Part I: Uncoupled model. Part II: Coupled atmosphere-ocean model. (V. Lucarini & P.H. Stone) Journal of Climate 18 (4): 501-513, 514-529. [abstract] [PDF: 700 kB (posted with permission)]

2005-1. Book Review: Why carbon fuels will dominate the 21st century's global energy economy [P.R. Odell] (D. Ellerman) Energy Policy 33 (18): 2411-2412. [abstract] [PDF: 138 kB (posted with permission)]

2004-10. Climate Prediction: The Limits of Ocean Models (P.H. Stone); Complexities in the Climate System and Uncertainties in Forecasts (R.G. Prinn); and Modeling Human-Climate Interaction (H.D. Jacoby) in: State of the Planet: Frontiers and Challenges in Geophysics R.S.J. Sparks and C.J. Hawksworth (editors), American Geophysical Union Monograph Vol. 150: Washington, DC, pp. 259-267; 297-305; 307-317. [abstracts] [Stone Chapter PDF: 2.8 MB; Prinn Chapter PDF: 2.7 MB; Jacoby Chapter PDF: 3.1 MB (posted with permission)]

2004-9. Methane Fluxes Between Terrestrial Ecosystems and the Atmosphere at Northern High Latitudes During the Past Century: A Retrospective Analysis with a Process-Based Biogeochemistry Model (Q. Zhuang, J.M. Melillo, D.W. Kicklighter, R.G. Prinn, A.D. McGuire, P.A. Steudler, B.S. Felzer & S. Hu) Global Biogeochemical Cycles 18: GB3010. [abstract] [Full Article available at lead author's site: PDF: 555 kB; or journal site]

2004-8. Representing Energy Technologies in Top-down Economic Models Using Bottom-up Information (J.R. McFarland, J.M. Reilly & H.J. Herzog) Energy Economics 26(4): 685-707. [abstract] [PDF: 445 kB (posted with permission)]

2004-7. Informing Climate Policy Given Incommensurable Benefits Estimates (H. Jacoby) Global Environmental Change Part A 14(3): 287-297. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2004-6. Nonlinearities, Feedbacks and Critical Thresholds within the Earth's Climate System (J. Rial, R. Pielke Sr., M. Beniston, M. Claussen, J. Canadell, P. Cox, H. Held, N. de Noblet-Ducoudre, R. Prinn, J. Reynolds & J. Salas) Climatic Change 65(1-2): 11-38. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2004-5. Effects of ozone on net primary production and carbon sequestration in the conterminous United States using a biogeochemistry model (B. Felzer, D.W. Kicklighter, J.M. Melillo, C. Wang, Q. Zhuang & R. Prinn) Tellus B 56(3): 230-248. [abstract] [Full Article available at lead author's site PDF: 825 kB; or journal site]

2004-4. Is Emissions Trading Always Beneficial? (M. Babiker, J. Reilly & L. Viguier) Energy Journal 25(2): 33-56. [abstract] [PDF: 122 kB (posted with permission)]

2004-3. A Note on Weak Double Dividends (G. Metcalf, M.H. Babiker & J. Reilly) Topics in Economic Analysis & Policy 4(1): Article 2. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2004-2. A Modeling Study on the Climate Impacts of Black Carbon Aerosols (C. Wang) Journal of Geophysical Research 109(D3): D03106. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2004-1. The Safety Valve and Climate Policy (H.D. Jacoby & A.D. Ellerman) Energy Policy 32(4): 481-491. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2003-13. The Costs of the Kyoto Protocol in the European Union (L. Viguier, M. Babiker & J. Reilly) Energy Policy 31(5): 459-481. [abstract] [PDF: 300 kB (posted with permission)] [Full Article also available in HTML at journal site]

2003-12. Absolute vs. Intensity-Based Emission Caps (A.D. Ellerman & I. Sue Wing) Climatic Policy 3 (Supplement 2): S7-S20. [abstract] [Also available at journal site]

2003-11. Uncertainty Analysis of Climate Change and Policy Response (M. Webster, C. Forest, J.M. Reilly, M.H. Babiker, D.W. Kicklighter, M. Mayer, R.G. Prinn, M. Sarofim, A.P. Sokolov, P.H. Stone & C. Wang) Climatic Change 61(3): 295-320. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2003-10. Communicating Climate Change Uncertainty to Policy-Makers and the Public (M. Webster) Climatic Change 61(1-2): 1-8. [Full Article available at journal site]

2003-9. Modeling Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gas Abatement (R.C. Hyman, J.M. Reilly, M.H. Babiker, A. De Masin & H.D. Jacoby) Environmental Modeling and Assessment 8(3): 175-186. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2003-8. Assessing the Impact of Carbon Tax Differentiation in the European Union (M.H. Babiker, P. Criqui, A.D. Ellerman, J.M. Reilly & L.L. Viguier) Environmental Modeling and Assessment 8(3): 187-197. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2003-7. Feedbacks Affecting the Response of the Thermohaline Circulation to Increasing CO2: A Study with a Model of Intermediate Complexity (I.V. Kamenkovich, A.P. Sokolov & P.H. Stone) Climate Dynamics 21(2): 119-130. [abstract and Full Article available at journal site]

2003-6. Ocean Heat Uptake in Transient Climate Change: Mechanisms and Uncertainty Due to Subgrid-scale Eddy Mixing (B. Huang, P.H. Stone, A.P. Sokolov & I.V. Kamenkovich) Journal of Climate 16(20): 3344-3356. [abstract] [PDF: 2 MB (posted with permission)] [Full Article also avialable in HTML at journal site]

2003-5. Sensitivities of Deep-ocean Heat Uptake and Heat Content in an OGCM with Idealized Geometry (B. Huang, P.H. Stone & C. Hill) Journal of Geophysical Research 108(C1): 3015. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2003-4. Tax Distortions and Global Climate Policy (M.H. Babiker, G.E. Metcalf & J. Reilly) Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 46: 269-287. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2003-3. Comparing Oceanic Heat Uptake in AOGCM Transient Climate Change Experiments (A.P. Sokolov, C.E. Forest and P.H. Stone) Journal of Climate 16(10): 1573-1582. [abstract] [PDF: 255 kB (posted with permission)] [Full Article also avialable in HTML at journal site]

2003-2. The Deep-Ocean Heat Uptake in Transient Climate Change (B. Huang, P.H. Stone, A.P. Sokolov & I.V. Kamenkovich) Journal of Climate 16(9): 1352-1363. [abstract] [PDF: 923 kB (posted with permission)] [Full Article also avialable in HTML at journal site]

2003-1. An Issue of Permanence: Assessing the Effectiveness of Temporary Carbon Storage (H. Herzog, K. Caldeira & J. Reilly) Climatic Change 59(3): 293-310. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2002-9. Towards a Definition of Climate Science (V. Lucarini) International Journal of Environment and Pollution 8(5): 413-422. [abstract] [PDF: 120 kB (posted with permission)]

2002-8. The Kyoto Protocol and Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gases and Carbon Sinks (J. Reilly, M. Mayer & J. Harnisch) Environmental Modeling and Assessment 7(4): 217-229. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2002-7. An Efficient Climate Model with a 3D Ocean and Statistical-Dynamical Atmosphere (I. Kamenkovich, A.P. Sokolov & P.H. Stone) Climate Dynamics 19 (7): 585-598. [abstract and Full Article available at journal site]

2002-6. Human Influence on Climate (C.E. Forest, P.H. Stone & H.D. Jacoby) Forum for Applied Research and Public Policy 17(2): 47-51. [abstract] [PDF: 95 kB (posted with permission)]

2002-5. The Evolution of a Climate Regime: Kyoto to Marrakech (M.H. Babiker, H.D. Jacoby, J.M. Reilly & D.M. Reiner) Environmental Science and Policy 5(3): 195-206. [abstract] [PDF: 208 kB (posted with permission)] [Full Article available at journal site]

2002-4. Rethinking The Kyoto Emissions Targets (M.H. Babiker & R.S. Eckaus) Climatic Change 54(4): 399-414. [abstract] [Full Article available at journal site]

2002-3. Uncertainty in Emissions Projections for Climate Models (M.D. Webster, M.H. Babiker, M. Mayer, J.M. Reilly, J. Harnisch, R. Hyman, M.C. Sarofim & C. Wang) Atmospheric Environment 36(22): 3659-3670. [abstract and Full Article available at journal site]

2002-2. The Curious Role of"Learning" in Climate Policy: Should We Wait For More Data? (M. Webster) The Energy Journal 23(2): 97-119. [abstract] [PDF: 1.88 MB (posted with permission)]

2002-1. Quantifying Uncertainties in Climate System Properties with the Use of Recent Climate Observations (C.E. Forest, P.H. Stone, A.P. Sokolov, M.R. Allen & M.D. Webster) Science 295: 113-117 (January 4, 2002). [abstract and Full Article available at journal site]

2001-8. Constraining Climate Model Properties Using Optimal Fingerprint Detection Methods (C.E. Forest, M.R. Allen, A.P. Sokolov & P.H. Stone) Climate Dynamics 18: 277-295. [abstract and Full Article available at journal site]

2001-7. Dis-Crediting Ocean Fertilization (S.W. Chisholm, P.G. Falkowski & J.J. Cullen) Science 294: 309-310 (October 12, 2001). [abstract and Full Article available at journal site]

2001-6. Nutrient gradients in the western North Atlantic Ocean: Relationship to microbial community structure and comparison to patterns in the Pacific Ocean (K.K. Cavender-Bares, D.M. Karl & S.W. Chisholm) Deep Sea Research I 48(11): 2373-2395. [abstract]

2001-5. The U.S. SO2 Allowance Trading Program (A.D. Ellerman) Revue de l'Energie 527: 315-320. [abstract]

2001-4. Uncertainty and Climate Change Assessments (J. Reilly, P.H. Stone, C.E. Forest, M.D. Webster, H.D. Jacoby & R.G. Prinn) Science 293 (5529): 430-433 (July 20, 2001). [abstract and Full Article available at journal site]

2001-3. Le defi europeen: Issues in the implementation of greenhouse gas emissions trading in Europe (A.D. Ellerman) Revue de l'Energie 524: 105-111. [abstract]

2001-2. Getting Climate Policy on Track after The Hague (H.D. Jacoby & D.M. Reiner) International Affairs (London) 77(2): 297-312. [abstract] [PDF: 92 kB (posted with permission)]

2001-1. Climate Impasse: How The Hague Negotiations Failed (D.M. Reiner) Environment 43(2): 36-43. [abstract]

2000-12. Reducing the uncertainty in the contribution of Greenland to sea-level rise in the 20th and 21st centuries (V. Bugnion) Annals of Glaciology 31: 121-125. [abstract]

2000-11. Stirring Times in the Southern Ocean (S.W. Chisholm) Nature 407: 685-687. [abstract]

2000-10. Constraining Uncertainties in Climate Models Using Climate Change Detection Techniques (C.E. Forest, M.R. Allen, P.H. Stone & A.P. Sokolov) Geophysical Research Letters 27(4):569-572. [abstract]

2000-9. Iron Limits the Cell Division Rate of Prochlorococcus in the Eastern Equatorial Pacific (E.L. Mann & S.W. Chisholm) Limnology and Oceanography 45(5):1067-1076. [abstract]

2000-8. Supplementarity: An Invitation to Monopsony? (A.D. Ellerman & I. Sue Wing) Energy Journal 21(4):29-59. [abstract]

2000-7. A Game of Climate Chicken: Can EPA Regulate Greenhouse Gases Before the U.S. Senate Ratifies the Kyoto Protocol? (V. Bugnion & D.M. Reiner) Environmental Law 30(3):491-525. [abstract]

2000-6. Japanese Nuclear Power and the Kyoto Agreement (M. Babiker, J. Reilly & D. Ellerman) J. Japanese and International Economies 14:169-188. [abstract]

2000-5. Linking Local Air Pollution to Global Chemistry and Climate (M. Mayer, C. Wang, M. Webster & R.G. Prinn) J. Geophysical Research 105(D18):22,869-22,896. [abstract]

2000-4. A Methodology for Quantifying Uncertainty in Climate Projections (M.D. Webster & A.P. Sokolov) Climatic Change 46(4):417-446. [abstract]

2000-3. Irreversibility, Uncertainty, and Learning: Portraits of Adaptation to Long-term Climate Change (J. Reilly & D. Schimmelpfennig) Climatic Change 45:253-278. [abstract]

2000-2. The Kyoto Protocol and Developing Countries (M. Babiker, J.M. Reilly & H.D. Jacoby) Energy Policy 28:525-536. [abstract]

2000-1. Factors Affecting Heat Transport in an Ocean General Circulation Model (I. Kamenkovich, J. Marotzke & P.H Stone) J. Physical Oceanography 30(1):175-194. [abstract]

1999-15. Transient Climate Change and Potential Croplands of the World in the 21st Century (X. Xiao J.M. Melillo, D.W. Kicklighter, A.D. McGuire, H. Tian, Y. Pan, C.J. Vorosmarty & Z. Yang) Sistema Terra: Remote Sensing and the Earth 8(1-3): 96-109. [abstract]

1999-14. Adjusting to Policy Expectations in Climate Change Modeling: An Interdisciplinary Study of Flux Adjustments in Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Models (S. Shackley, J. Risbey, P. Stone & B. Wynne) Climatic Change 43(2): 413-454. [abstract]

1999-13. Agricultural Impact Assessment, Vulnerability, and the Scope for Adaptation (J. Reilly & D. Schimmelpfennig) Climatic Change 43(4): 745-788. [abstract]

1999-12. Multi-gas Assessment of the Kyoto Protocol (J. Reilly, R. Prinn, J. Harnisch, J. Fitzmaurice, H. Jacoby, D. Kicklighter, J. Melillo, P. Stone, A. Sokolov & C. Wang) Nature 401: 549-555 . [abstract]

1999-11. Impact of Emissions, Chemistry and Climate on Atmospheric Carbon Monoxide: 100-Year Predictions from a Global Chemistry-Climate Model (C. Wang & R.G. Prinn) Chemosphere-Global Change Science Vol. 1(No. 1-3): 73-81. [abstract]

1999-10. The Role of Science in Policy: The Climate Change Debate in the United States (E.B. Skolnikoff) Environment 41(5): 16-20, 42-45. [abstract]

1999-9. Tradable Emissions Rights & Joint Implementation for Greenhouse Gas Abatement: A Look Under the Hood (R. Schmalensee); and Commentar

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